2014 is the 100th anniversary of the first great world war between the imperialist powers.
The first major crisis of the capitalist system, called the "Long Depression" rocked the world since 1873 and the imperialist powers were placed in a difficult situation. The development of productive forces, with the help of the Industrial Revolution, had reached unrivaled levels to what had happened before. It was the first major overproduction crisis of capitalism.
The Depression marks the end point of the free-market stage and announces the future capitalism, imperialism. The response of the imperialist powers was staged in the Berlin Conference (1884-1885). If so far, European imperialism had barely settled in Africa, thereafter it will be launched to the ruthless conquest of the continent: in a few years only Liberia (USA protectorate) and Ethiopia (after a war of liberation) remained exempt of the colonial division.
The end of British imperialist monopoly and the birth of different imperialist poles not only did not ensure peace, but ensured the conflict of interests between the different powers.
At that time, when historical social-democracy should have played a vanguard role of the labour movement, it consummated its treason instead, passing to the camp of the bourgeoisie. With the signing of the war budgets by the German and French social-democracy (August 4, 1914) not only the collapse of the Second International, by supporting its imperialist bourgeoisie, was staged; at the same time it was proved that the labour movement can only consolidate itself through a resolute struggle against opportunism.
A century later, the current crisis is much deeper than the one in 1873 and even in 1929. Today, as then, the development of capitalism in its imperialist phase places the central bourgeoisies in a position of “all or nothing”: the capitalist accumulation cycle is stopped and the bourgeoisies have two options: either to see how their power as the ruling class declines or initiate an imperialist war as a desperate way out. Under imperialism there is no peace, there is a state of permanent war.
A preliminary historical fact has played a key role in the current situation, the triumph of the counterrevolution in the Soviet Union and the socialist countries of Central and Eastern Europe, restoring the capitalist dictatorship in most of what was the socialist camp.
The USSR, together with the other socialist and non-aligned countries, raised a real dam against the most aggressive plans of the imperialist powers, which were forced to present a common front against socialism, thereby temporarily decreasing the risk of an armed conflict between capitalists.
Today, after more than twenty years without the existence of that dam that was the socialist camp, we witness how the inter-imperialist contradictions are intensified at high speed, creating a situation that the working class and its vanguard organizations, the Communist and Workers' Parties, should analyze and study in depth if we want to articulate a revolutionary position which is consistent with the historical moment we live, in which the possibility of new imperialist wars is more real day after day.